Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.027403 0.029521 0.031647 0.033939 0.036336 0.038767 0.041415
2025-11-23 0.023173 0.026470 0.029902 0.033727 0.037858 0.042171 0.047003
2025-11-30 0.020591 0.024561 0.028803 0.033645 0.038989 0.044679 0.051168
2025-12-07 0.018308 0.022704 0.027512 0.033111 0.039406 0.046218 0.054103
2025-12-14 0.016364 0.021048 0.026281 0.032490 0.039584 0.047371 0.056499
2025-12-21 0.014625 0.019491 0.025043 0.031744 0.039518 0.048162 0.058409
2025-12-28 0.013921 0.019090 0.025086 0.032423 0.041034 0.050702 0.062262
2026-01-04 0.012988 0.018348 0.024671 0.032515 0.041829 0.052389 0.065120
2026-01-11 0.012056 0.017547 0.024134 0.032417 0.042363 0.053743 0.067572
2026-01-18 0.011586 0.017291 0.024231 0.033056 0.043748 0.056073 0.071145
2026-01-25 0.010820 0.016612 0.023771 0.032985 0.044261 0.057364 0.073497
2026-02-01 0.010155 0.016028 0.023397 0.032993 0.044846 0.058723 0.075915
2026-02-08 0.009447 0.015388 0.022972 0.032975 0.045458 0.060193 0.078572
2026-02-15 0.008696 0.014659 0.022412 0.032780 0.045859 0.061426 0.080979
2026-02-22 0.008058 0.014044 0.021967 0.032700 0.046375 0.062780 0.083517
2026-03-01 0.007303 0.013219 0.021204 0.032176 0.046309 0.063406 0.085163
2026-03-08 0.006582 0.012394 0.020402 0.031566 0.046104 0.063838 0.086557
2026-03-15 0.005879 0.011550 0.019535 0.030834 0.045713 0.064017 0.087623
2026-03-22 0.005689 0.011472 0.019721 0.031500 0.047114 0.066415 0.091407
2026-03-29 0.005331 0.011110 0.019491 0.031591 0.047761 0.067870 0.094032
2026-04-05 0.004942 0.010674 0.019135 0.031494 0.048151 0.068996 0.096247
2026-04-12 0.004788 0.010609 0.019309 0.032121 0.049490 0.071318 0.099950
2026-04-19 0.004450 0.010218 0.018990 0.032052 0.049900 0.072461 0.102186